Koryu

The dial · 針

Which weather is it?
Fixed rules, one answer a day.

RISK-OFFas of 2026-07-13 (UTC daily close)
BTC close vs MA50$63,780 vs $64,942 (below)
BTC MA20 vs MA50$61,892 vs $64,942 (not stacked)
Breadth (board coins above own MA50)28.0% (25-40%)
RISK-ON: BTC close > MA50 and MA20 > MA50 and breadth >= 40%
RISK-OFF: stack false or breadth < 25%
NEUTRAL: otherwise
Breadth: % of the board's coins above their own MA50

Data: Binance USDT spot daily klines (completed UTC days) + CoinGecko market-cap ranking. Formulas: the dial methodology · reading guide: how to read the dial. A dial reading is a description, not a forecast. Decisions are yours.

Questions

What is the Koryu regime dial?

A rules-based risk-on / risk-off instrument for the crypto market. It combines BTC's trend stack (close above the 50-day average, 20-day above 50-day) with market breadth (the share of the board's coins above their own 50-day average) and prints one of three states: RISK-ON, NEUTRAL, or RISK-OFF.

What are the exact thresholds?

RISK-ON requires the BTC stack to be true and breadth at or above 40%. RISK-OFF prints when the stack is false or breadth is below 25%. Everything between is NEUTRAL. The thresholds are fixed and published; they do not get tuned quietly.

Is the dial a prediction?

No. It is a description of current conditions under fixed rules. Regimes can flip the day after any reading, and the dial will simply describe the new state. It carries no instruction and no forecast. Decisions are yours.

Why show the raw inputs next to the verdict?

So you never have to trust the color. The BTC stack values and the breadth percentage are printed beside every verdict, and the formulas are published, so any reader can recompute the state from public data.