The system,
documented.
How this site itself works: the board's columns, the dial's thresholds, the attestation chain, the derivation journal, and the gates a strategy must pass in public before it ships.
8 notes · The system
We found a way to make the short work. Our own validation gate told us to slow down.
The short side of our candidate strategy had a drawdown problem. How patience and profit-taking fixed it, and why our validation gate still withheld approval.
We went looking for an edge in picking coins. The data kept pointing at the regime.
We searched hard for a coin-picking edge in crypto. On data that includes the dead coins, one decision kept paying: whether to be in the market at all.
The short now respects one more thing: priced-in panic.
Strategy v2.3 adds one clause: the short book stands down when Bitcoin implied volatility hits its capitulation zone. The rule, the untuned threshold, the test.
The backtest says 773x. That is why we don't trust it yet.
Our candidate crypto strategy backtests at 773x with the bear years flipped to gains. The full evidence, the bug we caught, and why it runs in shadow, not live.
A dozen ideas went in. One seatbelt came out.
We ran every idea through a fixed validation battery: social attention, alt rotation, mean-reversion, vol sizing. One survived: a funding-crowding risk filter.
Every number on the board, recomputable by you.
The full public specification of the daily board: universe rules, every column's formula, the 4-hour refresh, and why nothing on it is a proprietary score.
The market has weather. This is our barometer, in full.
One fixed formula for crypto market regime: the BTC trend stack plus top-100 breadth, its three states, the evidence behind it, and its honest failure modes.
Four guardians hold the directions. The fifth holds the ground.
The origin story in the four-guardians mythology: an equity house of four beasts, the fifth position at the center, and the transplant that carried the system.