Koryu · 黄龍
Koryu
← Research library
Research · 研究 · 63 · Momentum craft

The relative strength vs BTC ratio: strong in dollars, weak against the tide.

21 Oct 20264 min readMomentum craftKoryu Research

This article explains a ranking lens. Its craft readings are practitioner observations, labeled as such, not tested claims. Nothing here is investment advice. Decisions are yours.

Relative strength against BTC is an asset's price divided by BTC's: a ratio chart asking the only question that separates leadership from tide, is this thing outperforming the market factor itself? A coin can rise 30% in dollars and fall against BTC, and the second reading is the one that grades the asset rather than the regime.

The denominator decision

What a depeg does is a reminder that every price is a ratio, and the denominator frames the question. Dollar terms ask: did wealth grow? BTC terms ask: did this asset earn anything beyond its exposure to the tide, the same question the regression framework formalizes in the alpha-beta piece, answered with a chart instead of a slope. In a market where one factor dominates, the BTC-denominated chart is the deflated view: it subtracts the market from the asset and shows what remains. Bull markets make every USD chart beautiful; the alt/BTC chart is where you find out which beauty was borrowed.

The four readings

Practitioners run RS in four modes. Ranking: sort a universe by strength versus BTC over a window and attention flows to the top decile, the cross-sectional construction that the momentum evidence rests on. Confirmation: a USD breakout accompanied by an RS breakout means the asset leads the market, not merely rides it, while a USD breakout on flat RS is the tide wearing a costume. Early warning: RS rolling over while the USD chart still rises is the leadership fading before price admits it, the single-asset version of the breadth divergence in the breadth explainer. And regime aggregation: the share of the board with rising RS versus BTC is exactly how alt season gets measured, and its collapse is the grind that BTC dominance rotation describes. Honesty about the evidence tier: the ranking mode inherits the academic momentum literature's support; the chart-reading modes are craft, coherent and widely used, but not statistics.

Reading it from this board today

Plainly: the monitor methodology makes the momentum columns USD-denominated, and the board does not yet publish a dedicated RS-vs-BTC column. The crude read is still one subtraction away: BTC sits on the board with its own 30-day and 90-day readings, and any asset's momentum minus BTC's over the same window is its relative performance, coarse but honest. An explicit ratio column is a natural candidate for the board's evolution precisely because it is computable from prices already published, and the case against secret sauce decides how it would ship: formula first, the way every column does.

The traps

Three, briefly. Denominator regime: in a hard risk-off, an asset can win the RS contest by falling slower than BTC, which makes it the strongest corpse in the morgue; RS readings need the absolute trend state alongside, and that is what the monitor's moving-average columns anchor. Thin-name distortion: a ratio of a thin price to a thick one inherits the thin one's noise and manipulability, both of which scale with how little dollar volume the thin name trades. And window sensitivity: leadership over 30 days and over 90 can disagree, so any RS claim without its window is an opinion in a lab coat. The lens itself survives all three caveats, because the question it asks is the right one: against the only denominator this market respects, who is actually strong? Decisions are yours.

Related reading
Momentum craftBreakout volume confirmation in crypto: when volume lies4 min readMomentum craftWhy your crypto stop loss keeps getting hit: the wick problem4 min readMomentum craftDoes momentum work in crypto? The evidence and the crashes4 min read
Frequently asked

What is relative strength versus BTC?

An asset's price divided by BTC's: a ratio chart asking whether the asset outperforms the market factor itself. A coin can rise 30% in dollars and fall against BTC, and the second reading grades the asset rather than the regime.

Why denominate in BTC instead of dollars?

Dollar terms ask whether wealth grew; BTC terms ask whether the asset earned anything beyond its exposure to the tide, the chart version of the alpha-beta regression. In a one-factor market the BTC-denominated view subtracts the market and shows what remains.

What are the main relative-strength readings?

Ranking (sort the universe by strength versus BTC, the cross-sectional momentum construction), confirmation (a USD breakout with an RS breakout means leadership, not tide), early warning (RS rolling over before price), and regime aggregation (broad rising RS is measured alt season).

What is the strongest-corpse trap?

In a hard risk-off an asset can win the RS contest by falling slower than BTC, making it the strongest corpse in the morgue. RS readings need the absolute trend state alongside, which is what the monitor's moving-average columns anchor.

Does the monitor publish RS versus BTC?

Not as a dedicated column yet: momentum columns are USD-denominated. The crude read is one subtraction away, any asset's 30-day or 90-day reading minus BTC's own row. An explicit ratio column is a natural candidate, and would ship formula-first like every column.